Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.532554 3.752575 3.987077 4.256988 4.560827 4.894390 5.291222
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.353327 3.664241 4.013168 4.438681 4.950619 5.556367 6.342896
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.092000 3.446538 3.859448 4.385275 5.051835 5.891178 7.069113
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.860264 3.238580 3.692451 4.291508 5.085769 6.143554 7.742714
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.679197 3.075071 3.562550 4.227120 5.146004 6.438563 8.549313
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.533586 2.943330 3.459873 4.185420 5.229563 6.780439 9.528388
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.452129 2.886011 3.447140 4.262048 5.490222 7.438449 11.276848
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.296284 2.721382 3.278757 4.103166 5.378465 7.481109 11.909073
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.222825 2.660675 3.246308 4.136216 5.568159 8.076667 13.985193
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.147356 2.592192 3.197417 4.139093 5.709095 8.621158 16.316500
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.045172 2.481462 3.081239 4.028119 5.642465 8.750454 17.655436
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.952107 2.378811 2.970612 3.916686 5.561514 8.836048 18.971598
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.910885 2.354544 2.984059 4.024167 5.930658 10.104426 26.656877
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.883283 2.347870 3.023349 4.180557 6.434182 11.985521 44.600048
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.807320 2.266962 2.943879 4.126351 6.508243 12.804412 63.210824
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.730077 2.180250 2.849814 4.037372 6.494956 13.387585 90.480124
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.665165 2.108611 2.774976 3.975909 6.534207 14.203717 159.372683
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.609860 2.048612 2.714876 3.935654 6.617157 15.276538 499.426289
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.579842 2.025075 2.711831 4.002071 6.974871 17.853138 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.512157 1.941097 2.604775 3.857939 6.773743 17.737207 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.480929 1.911729 2.586466 3.886214 7.032779 20.320256 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.447051 1.876649 2.556328 3.887708 7.223009 22.930980 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.398020 1.816002 2.479656 3.787399 7.104219 23.391435 NaN